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Published daily by the Lowy Institute

  • 4 hours ago
    • United States
    • US Elections

    AI might better predict Trump’s foreign policy

    Ben Scott
    A method marked the madness and can be decoded.
  • 8 hours ago
    • International law
    • Technology

    A first step on the long road to global AI regulation

    José-Miguel Bello y Villarino , Ramona Vijeyarasa , Kimberlee Weatherall
    It didn’t make headlines but the US and EU came together last week to sign an important treaty – leaving partners such as Australia with a choice.
  • 14 hours ago
    • Taiwan
    • Pacific Islands

    Beijing’s "one-China principle" is spreading

    Benjamin Herscovitch
    It is untrue that Taiwan is an "inalienable part" of China, but that's not stopping governments from Kiribati to Honduras from saying it.
  • 1 day ago
    • Cambodia
    • China
    • Indonesia
    • Japan
    • Malaysia
    • Southeast Asia
    • Thailand
    • Australia
    • Australia and Asia

    China’s rise in Southeast Asia is bringing in a golden age for Australia

    Susannah Patton
    Disquiet about Beijing’s growing presence is motivating countries across the region to seek deeper cooperation with Canberra.
  • 1 day ago
    • China
    • Philippines
    • South China Sea
    • Defence & Security

    South China Sea: The “transparency initiative” success is plain to see

    Richard Javad Heydarian
    But pressure on the Philippines means that its key partners must step up more.
  • 1 day ago
    • United States
    • US Elections

    Three safe bets on the 47th president’s foreign policy

    George Boone
    Whatever the outcome of the US election, states will remain self-interested, and material power will reign supreme.
  • 6 Sep 2024
    • Bangladesh
    • Human rights

    The rights-based priority in relations with Bangladesh

    Mubashar Hasan
    Sheikh Hasina’s downfall holds a lesson for the international community to ensure support for political freedoms.
  • 6 Sep 2024
    • Pacific Islands
    • Tonga

    Tonga and His Majesty’s Armed Forces: A military made for peace

    Sheridan Ward
    This Pacific country avoided colonisation not by force, but by adopting the trappings of state. A next step awaits.
  • 6 Sep 2024
    • Australia
    • Russia
    • Ukraine
    • International law
    • Transnational Challenges

    Russian sanctions: Why has Australia stayed quiet on reparations?

    Anton Moiseienko
    With strong rule of law credentials and expertise, Canberra should use its advantage in responses to war.
  • 6 Sep 2024
    • Defence & Security
    • Maritime Security
    • Trade
    • Iran
    • Yemen

    Iran’s shadow hand in Houthi Red Sea attacks

    Jonathan Campbell-James
    How the Houthis and Iranians work together isn’t absolutely clear – but stopping the threat to shipping requires more than shooting down incoming missiles and extends to disrupting an intelligence and targeting system.
  • 5 Sep 2024
    • Asia
    • Southeast Asia
    • Australia
    • Australian trade, investment & economy

    Economic diplomacy: Taking sides for an election

    Greg Earl
    From ANZUS, Indonesia, regional business and media reporting, Penny Wong seems to have legacy in mind.
  • 5 Sep 2024
    • Japan
    • Sustainability

    In teaching about Sustainable Development Goals, Japan has a chance to learn about itself

    Marin Ekstrom , Ikhlas Abdul Hadi
    English as a foreign language courses could become a catalyst for change by fostering a critical thinking in classrooms.
  • 5 Sep 2024
    • Defence & Security

    Is AUKUS Pillar II growing too quickly?

    Kieran Thompson
    More ambition and more members can’t be a mask for success.
  • 4 Sep 2024
    • Intelligence and security
    • New Zealand

    New Zealand's intelligence service warns of growing foreign interference risks

    David Capie
    A new security assessment aims to widen the concept of strategic competition beyond the United States and China.
  • 4 Sep 2024
    • China
    • United States

    Can the US and China avoid a catastrophic clash?

    Daniel R. DePetris
    Jake Sullivan’s trip to Beijing was about managing tension and that’s the best that can be hoped for.
  • 4 Sep 2024
    • Aid & Development
    • Australia
    • Multilateral Development Banks

    Australia should make a strategic investment in the World Bank

    Roland Rajah , Georgia Hammersley
    Geostrategic competition makes the multilateral advantage more vital than ever, especially in the Pacific.
  • 4 Sep 2024
    • Russia
    • Antarctica
    • BRICS
    • Environment
    • International law
    • Sustainability

    Will Russia violate the Antarctic Treaty?

    Sergey Sukhankin
    For Moscow, science has always come second to ideology.
  • 3 Sep 2024
    • Australia
    • Africa

    Australia needs to boost its engagement with Africa, but not for the reasons advocates say we should

    Kate O’Shaughnessy
    Africa’s demographic story won’t necessarily translate to economic opportunities for Australia. But the geopolitical tale matters more.
  • 3 Sep 2024
    • Middle East Conflict
    • Russia
    • Middle East

    Russia and the Middle East: Positioning for advantage

    Ian Hill
    Moscow has made a cynical calculation that conflict serves its interests.
  • 3 Sep 2024
    • China
    • Hong Kong
    • Russia
    • Ukraine
    • International law

    Hong Kong keeps Russia’s dark fleet afloat

    Selwyn Parker
    Operating under flags of convenience, hundreds of vessels are evading the sanctions meant to stifle movement.
  • 2 Sep 2024
    • China
    • Australia
    • Resource security
    • Technology
    • United States

    Antimony: The hidden metal fuelling global competition

    Marina Yue Zhang
    China’s latest critical mineral restrictions have caught attention – but mooted solutions might not deliver.
  • 2 Sep 2024
    • China
    • Vietnam

    A pilgrimage to China for Vietnam’s new leader

    Thi Mai Anh Nguyen
    Talk of divergent strategic views between the neighbours would be a misreading of history.
  • 2 Sep 2024
    • Australia
    • Diplomacy
    • Public Opinion

    The patriot’s virtue in bringing the world back home

    Mark Pierce
    Whether gauging global attitudes or assessing international interests, it pays to think first of home.
  • 30 Aug 2024
    • China
    • Europe
    • Russia

    Is Russia really European anymore?

    Evan Freidin
    Cut off from the West, Russia is making a turn to Asia. But this leaves a cultural wound.
  • 30 Aug 2024
    • Indonesia
    • Energy
    • Sustainability

    The right road to renewable biofuel in Indonesia

    Hidayatul Mustafidah Rohmawati , Michael Suryaprawira
    Taking directions from big producers in the United States and Brazil.
  • 30 Aug 2024
    • Pacific Islands

    Long-range leaders in Melanesia: Why you need to know about them

    Miranda Forsyth , Sinclair Dinnen
    Carefully mixing metaphors helps to understand a crucial yet underappreciated actor in Pacific politics.
  • 29 Aug 2024
    • China
    • Myanmar

    China puts the squeeze on Myanmar’s Tatmadaw

    Henry Storey
    Beijing’s approach to its troublesome neighbour belies claims that it has an innate mission to promote authoritarianism aboard.
  • 29 Aug 2024
    • China
    • Nuclear Non-Proliferation, Arms Control and Disarmament
    • Nuclear Weapons
    • United States

    US shifts nuclear focus to counter China’s growing arsenal

    Amrita Jash
    Beijing’s nuclear modernisation means its intentions and commitments to non-proliferation will continue to be questioned.
  • 29 Aug 2024
    • United States
    • US Elections

    Harris vs Trump, and the foreign policy shake-up ahead

    Arthur Sinodinos
    From AUKUS and the South China Sea, to Taiwan and Ukraine, Canberra and other allies will need creative diplomacy in their kit bag after November's election.
  • 28 Aug 2024
    • Australia
    • Diplomacy
    • Human rights
    • International law
    • Migration

    Maid in Australia: When international relations and industrial law collide

    Daniel Flitton
    Two recent court cases have raised uncomfortable questions about diplomatic immunity.
  • 28 Aug 2024
    • Australia
    • Pacific Islands
    • Tuvalu

    The Falepili Union: A Pacific response to the greatest global challenges

    Pat Conroy
    A world-first treaty with Australia ensures Tuvalu’s statehood will continue, even in the face of a climate catastrophe.
  • 28 Aug 2024
    • Cyber Security
    • Technology
    • US Elections

    Byte-sized diplomacy: Countering digital foreign interference

    Miah Hammond-Errey
    The danger is back in the spotlight as the US election unfolds. But who is interfering and how can we counter it?
  • 28 Aug 2024
    • Asia
    • China
    • China's Economy
    • India
    • India's Economy
    • Japan
    • Japan's Economy
    • Geo-economics

    The geopolitical ripple effect of Asia’s ageing population

    Mohd. Yunus
    Economies, cultures and foreign policy objectives are set to evolve with the region’s shifting demographics.
  • 27 Aug 2024
    • Indonesia
    • Defence & Security

    Indonesia pledges closer defence ties with Australia one day – military drills with China the next

    Rahman Yaacob
    Jakarta carries risks while seeking the rewards of its friends to all approach to defence diplomacy.
  • 27 Aug 2024
    • Indonesia

    Prabowo’s capitulation in Constitutional Court crisis only a partial victory

    Nava Nuraniyah
    An apparent win for civil society masks elite political manoeuvring as Indonesia’s local elections loom.
  • 27 Aug 2024
    • Diplomacy
    • Global Issues
    • Human rights
    • International law
    • Transnational Challenges

    Hostage diplomacy: Fresh ideas to end a modern blight

    Sean Turnell
    A new Australian senate inquiry into the practice of imprisonment for leverage offer a chance to learn from international experience.
  • 26 Aug 2024
    • Taiwan

    The right side of history: Taiwan and its “real estate”

    Jenny Bloomfield
    Democratic freedoms in Taiwan have been hard won and deservedly supported strongly by Australia.
  • 26 Aug 2024
    • Bangladesh
    • India
    • Trade

    The benefits of connection: India’s linkages to Bangladesh withstand local unrest

    Riya Sinha
    Roads and rail are the sinews of a strong relationship. But New Delhi cannot afford to be complacent about its regional ties.
  • 26 Aug 2024
    • Transnational Challenges
    • Pacific Islands
    • Tonga

    The down-low on deportations and drugs in Tonga

    Henrietta McNeill
    The practice by Australia of sending criminals back to their home country can pose a risk to regional security without the proper reintegration support.
  • 23 Aug 2024
    • Asia
    • Southeast Asia
    • Australia and Asia
    • Diplomacy
    • Communities
    • Regional relationships

    Key questions for reform of the New Colombo Plan

    Ly Tran
    A boost to the ties that bind Australia and the Indo-Pacific is essential to humanising public diplomacy and building life-long connections.
  • 23 Aug 2024
    • Pakistan

    Why is Imran Khan running for chancellor of University of Oxford?

    Syed Fazl-e-Haider
    The former international cricketer is determined to play until the last ball of his political innings.
  • 23 Aug 2024
    • Indonesia
    • Southeast Asia
    • Resource security

    A glimpse into Indonesia's nickel policy

    Hilman Palaon , Robert Walker
    China has become a key partner, but locals pay the price and need more support to realise the benefits.
  • 22 Aug 2024
    • Indonesia
    • Indonesia's Economy
    • Australia
    • Australia's Economy
    • Trade

    Economic diplomacy: Playing defence with Prabowo

    Greg Earl
    New security cooperation with Indonesia does not make up for the slow progress in building fresh economic links.
  • 22 Aug 2024
    • Asean
    • Indonesia
    • Climate change
    • Environment
    • Sustainability

    Southeast Asia’s great haze: Laggards and leaders

    Pia Dannhauer
    Indonesia is the region’s biggest producer of haze, so why was it the last to ratify ASEAN’s pollution prevention agreement?
  • 22 Aug 2024
    • Defence & Security

    AUKUS: The Singapore Strategy Redux

    Albert Palazzo
    Successive governments are making the nation vulnerable to a repeat performance.
  • 21 Aug 2024
    • Asia
    • Australia and Asia
    • Australia and the Pacific
    • Australian Development Assistance
    • Australian Foreign Aid
    • Foreign Policy
    • Pacific Islands

    Australia takes a big first step to engage civil society in foreign policy

    Heather Wrathall , Jasmine Stephens
    With a new multi-million dollar fund, Canberra underscores the importance of robust and transparent democracy.
  • 21 Aug 2024
    • Climate change
    • United Nations
    • Pacific Islands
    • New Caledonia
    • Tonga

    Polycrisis in the Pacific: How leaders will respond at the PIF Summit in Tonga

    Mihai Sora
    A tiny capital will be host to a huge regional agenda.
  • 21 Aug 2024
    • Defence & Security
    • Russia
    • Ukraine

    Surprise and modern war

    Mick Ryan
    The Kursk offensive is a reminder of the enduring power of surprise. Prudence suggests that Australia needs be prepared.
  • 21 Aug 2024
    • Indonesia
    • Indonesian Elections

    Indonesia needs a strong opposition that can inspire hope, and look cool while doing it

    Alldo Fellix Januardy , Abigail Limuria
    Democratic backsliding in Southeast Asia’s largest country will set a poor example for the region.
  • 20 Aug 2024
    • Indonesia
    • Indonesia's Economy
    • Resource security

    Looking back at Jokowi’s decade of resource nationalism

    Eve Warburton
    How successful were the Indonesian president’s efforts to localise and industrialise the country’s natural commodities?
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